I've seen a lot of fear mongering, misinformation and overall general panic concerning the zika virus surrounding the Rio Olympics. However, little has been said about the actual epidemiological impact of these Olympics concerning zika.
I would assume that sending hundreds of thousands of people into this 'zika hotspot' and then having them return to their home countries will likely only accelerate the spread of this virus. I understand that Zika has been present in other tropical parts of the world for 50+ years, but the South American strain has had a higher incidence of more dire effects.
Has anyone actually modeled how these 2016 Olympics will impact (likely accelerate) the spread of this dangerous viral strain throughout the world?
I know the CDC and WHO have people working on this, but I haven't seen any direct reports or evidence of such work. I know it's difficult to create too accurate of a model due to the lack of knowledge about other mosquito species' abilities to become carriers, so I would assume that if a model does exist, it's likely just using Aedes species as the main vector.
Regardless, if anyone knows about epidemiological modeling being done about the Olympic's impact on the spread of zika, please provide some resources.