I think the jury is out on this one, there are examples of evidence both for and against reachability of local equilibrium and even these examples can be interpreted in many ways. I present three pieces of evidence and some interpretations. In general, my feeling after reading about this is that the assumption of equilibrium is ingrained in mathematical models for convenience and [historic reasons](http://egtheory.wordpress.com/2013/08/16/fitness-landscapes/) not because there is solid evidence for it. ###Evidence against: vestigial features and macroevolutionary change From a genome-wide perspective, it seems that equilibrium is at odds with the intuition of naturalists. Consider for example vestigial features of your own body like your appendix, goose bumps, tonsils, wisdom teeth, third eyelid, or the second joint in the middle of your foot made immobile by a tightened ligament (see video below). Wouldn't it be more efficient (and thus produce marginally higher fitness) if you didn't spend the energy to construct these features? Of course, this naturalist argument is not convincing since we don’t know if there are any small mutations that could remove these vestigial features from our development, I could just be describing a different local optimum that lays on the other side of a fitness valley from my current vertex. The other tempting naturalist example of macroevolutionary changes like speciation is also not convincing for static fitness landscapes. The usual retort is that on these timescales the environment is not constant and depends on the organisms through mechanisms like niche-construction or frequency-dependence. This defense of local equilibria is actually a central part of the punctuated equilibrium theory of evolution; the environment changes (either through an external effect like meteor or internal effect like migration or niche-construction) and the wild-type becomes not locally optimal, but adaptation quickly carries the species to a new nearby local optimum where it remains for a long period of time until the next environmental change. Naturalistic observations are insufficient to settle this question, so we need to turn to experiments. ###Evidence for: affinity maturation The length of evolutionary process leading to <a href="http://egtheory.wordpress.com/2013/06/23/micro-macro-evolution/#affinity">affinity maturation</a> is very short, typically a local equilibrium is found after only 6-8 nucleotide changes in CDR (Crews et al., 1981; Tonegawa, 1983; Clark et al., 1985), so you need only a few point mutations to quickly develop a drastically better tuned antibody -- an adaptive process that happens on the order of days. There are two reservations to keep in mind: First, the adapted B-cells were not experimentally isolated and all of their point-mutations were not checked to guarantee that a fitness peak was reached. In both theoretical and experimental treatments of evolution, it is known that fitness increases tend to show a pattern of geometrically diminishing returns (Lenski & Travisano 1994; Orr, 1998; Cooper & Lenski, 2000) which means that after a few generations the fitness change will be so small that the fixation time in the large population of B-cells will be longer than the presence of the pathogen causing the immune response. We might not be seeing more steps because the next steps might have a fitness increase too small to fixate before the environment (and thus, fitness landscape) changes again. Second, as can be seen from the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Activation-Induced_(Cytidine)_Deaminase">AID protein</a> (and other mechanisms) increasing the rate of mutation by a factor of $10^6$ along the gene encoding antibody proteins, this is a fitness landscape that has been shaped by previous evolution of the human immune system to find fit mutants as quickly as possible. This biases the phenomenon towards landscapes where local maxima would be easier to find than usual, and thus makes it not a good candidate for considering evolution under more typical conditions. ###Evidence against: long-term evolution experiment A more typical setting might be the evolution of <i>E. coli</i> in a static fitness landscape. Here, biologists have run <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/E._coli_long-term_evolution_experiment">long-term experiments</a> tracking a population for <a href="http://myxo.css.msu.edu/ecoli/celebrate50K.html">over 50,000 generations</a> (Lenski & Travisano 1994; Cooper & Lenski, 2000; Blount et al. 2012) and continue to still find adaptations and marginal increases in fitness. This suggests that a local optimum is not quickly found, even though the environment is static. However, it is difficult to estimate the number of adaptive mutations that fixed in this population, and Lenski (2003) estimated that as few as 100 adaptive point-mutations fixated in the first 20,000 generations. It is also hard to argue that the population doesn't traverse small fitness valleys between measurements, which could be used to suggest that the colony is hopping from one easy-to-find local equilibrium to the next. ###References Blount, Z. D., J. E. Barrick, C. J. Davidson, and R. E. Lenski. (2012). Genomic analysis of a key innovation in an experimental Escherichia coli population. <i>Nature</i> 489: 513-518. Clark, S.H., Huppi, K., Ruezinsky, D., Staudt, L., Gerhard, W., & Weigert, M. (1985). Inter- and intraclonal diversity in the antibody response to influenza hemagglutin. <i>J. Exp. Med.</i> 161: 687. Cooper, V.S., & Lenski, R.E. (2000). The population genetics of ecological specialization in evolving <i>Escherichia coli</i> populations. <i>Nature</i> 407: 736-739. Crews, S., Griffin, J., Huang, H., Calame, K., & Hood, L. (1981). A single V gene segment encodes the immune response to phosphorylcholine: somatic mutation is correlated with the class of the antibody. <i>Cell</i> 25: 59. Kauffman, S.A., & Weinberger E.D. (1989). The NK model of rugged fitness landscapes and its application to maturation of the immune response. <i>Journal of Theoretical Biology</i>, 141(2): 211-245. Lenski, Richard E. (2003). "Phenotypic and Genomic Evolution during a 20,000-Generation Experiment with the Bacterium Escherichia coli". In Janick, Jules. <i>Plant Breeding Reviews</i> (New York: Wiley) 24(2): 225–65. Orr, H.A. (1998). The population genetics of adaptation: the distribution of factors fixed during adaptive evolution. <i>Evolution</i> 52: 935-949. Tonegawa, S. (1983). Somatic generation of antibody diversity. <i>Nature</i> 302: 575.